The centre right coalition is currently just 3% away from getting the two thirds majority it needs to pass Constitutional amendments without a referendum after the September 25 general election in Italy, according to a new projection.
The alliance is currently some 19% ahead of the centre left bloc in the run up to the election, and needs a lead of about 22% to secure a two thirds majority in both the Lower House and the Senate, said the YouTrend simulation.
The alliance plans to pass a Constitutional amendment to make elections of Italian presidents direct ones, by the people, and not by MPs.
The conservative Brothers of Italy (FdI) party is top party in the latest poll by Euromedia Research on 24.6%, putting plain-talking 45-year-old Roman leader Giorgia Meloni on track to becoming Italy’s first woman premier after September 25.
The centre left Democratic Party (PD) is running second at 23.1%, Euromedia said.
FdI’s main ally the rightwing League party of Matteo Salvini is third on 12.5%.
The ‘third pole’ of Azione-Italia VIva is fourth on 7.4%, the poll said.
The third cog in the centre right machine, three-time ex-premier and media mogul Silvio Berlusconi’s Forza Italia (FI) party, is fifth on 7%.
Various leftwing, green and liberal allies of the PD are polling at a total of around 5%.
The centre right has a total of 46.1% compared to 28.7% for the centre left.
The independent populist 5-Star Movement (M5S) has gained 3% to 12,3%, and Italexit is on 2.8%.
Over 35% of voters are still undecided.
A post-election alliance is still possible, but difficult, between the centre left, the third pole and the M5s, which would push that hypothetical bloc’s percentage up to around 41%, still some 5% behind the centre right bloc.
The poll said the cost of living crisis was the top priority for 47.4% of those interviewed, and the energy crisis for 45.7%, followed by jobs and employment on 40.5%.
Lack of confidence that parties can do anything about jobs was high, at 37.3%.
Some 35.5% of respondents were pessimistic about effective action on the energy crisis.