Month: November 2020

Austria: Unconfirmed reports that the Islamic State claims responsibility for synagogue attack

BREAKING: UPDATE – Attacker is said to have blown himself up with a belt of explosives – Terror attack on synagogue in Vienna – Shooting in the open street – Allegedly many deaths

Update: Meanwhile, the attacker is said to have blown himself up with a belt of explosives, reports Krone.at. However, several other perpetrators are said to be on the run. The police are asking the population to avoid the area on a large scale. There are already first reports that several people died and many were injured in the attack.

Terror attack in Vienna: The internal security of the Israeli religious community in Austria instructs all Jewish citizens not to leave their flats or houses.

Terroralarm in Wien: Angriff auf Synagoge – Schießerei auf offener Straße

WATCH: Muslims are pushing a man wearing a Macron mask across Berlin and beating and humiliating him – Berlin schools are afraid because of the scheduled minute’s silence for the French teacher Samuel Paty

“Allahu akbar” protests characterised the weekend in the Islamic areas of Berlin. Under shouts in Arabic language, for example, a man wearing a mask representing Emmanuel Macron was paraded through the streets on a rope and flogged.

Our Tweet of the day is from Julius Betschka, journalist at the “Tagesspiegel” – He has now made public that there have been far more than a few “Allahu akbar” shouts in Berlin in connection with the protests against France or Macron:

“In recent days there have been Muslim protests against Emmanuel Macron in the Berlin district of Neukölln. On Saturday, a person wearing a mask with a Macron face was disguised, tied to a rope, paraded down the street Sonnenallee by Arabic-speaking men & beaten with belts.

The fact that Macron is portrayed here with a longhaired wig is probably not due to the fact that many of the Islamists who were active here do not even know what Macron looks like. The “Tagesspiegel” reports:

Thomas Fröhlich from the campaign ” Ehrlos statt Wehrlos ” has witnessed the scene on Sonnenallee. His campaign was founded in 2018 in response to homophobic and transgressive attacks in Neukölln – they are left-wing and queer people, members of the Neukölln-based art and club scene.

Fröhlich says: “The fact that Macron is shown here in long blond hair as a fag, symbolizing the West as weak, “abnormal” and decadent, is part of the Islamist propaganda action”.

Some years ago a group of Arabs had whipped a homosexual couple with leather belts across the Kotti Square. At that time, homosexual organisations, politics and mainstream media kept quiet about the incident. On Facebook the report was deleted and I was blocked for four weeks.

Neukölln, which is now dominated by Muslims, is known for its numerous violent attacks on transgender and homosexual people. Only recently, a left-green homosexual association issued a bizarre press release calling on society and politics to pay more attention to Muslim and right-wing extremist homophobia.

Another tweet from Betschka highlights the problem in a significant way:

“The Arab-speaking man with the red and white Kufiya insults the person with the Macron mask as “vermin” and “dog” according to his colleague. The police know nothing of the incident.”

“The man humiliating the person wearing the #Macron mask in #Neukoelln is probably the Syrian-born Youtuber Fayez Kanfash. He was arrested by the @polizeiberlin at Alexanderplatz. This is shown in a video from a fan group.”

A minute’s silence for the murdered French teacher Samuel Paty is scheduled for today at Berlin schools. However, the schools do not await this without concern:

“With a mixture of solidarity and concern, Berlin’s schools are looking forward to the minute’s silence for the murdered French teacher Samuel Paty this Monday. The concern is directed above all at those Muslim pupils who, at home or in their communities, feel more angry about showing the Muhammad cartoons than they do about the murder. Several schools are considering how to avoid or intercept disturbances during the minute of silence”.

philosophia-perennis.com/2020/11/02/berlin-neukoelln-guertelschlaege-gegen-mann-mit-macron-maske/

October Surprise: This Race Is Over

By Jerry Cave and Bill Thomas

We now know — thanks to October — who will win on November 3. The reason we know is found in early voting data.

October voting is no longer the exclusive domain of the Democratic Party. Both parties vote early and in ever-increasing numbers. Which makes the October vote an early “action report” on the election outcome that’s more reality based than the polls or the mainstream media.

Who you vote for is a secret. When, where, and how many voters cast their ballots is not. It’s data. In this case, data in its most meaningful form: the number of early votes by registered Democrats and the number of early votes by registered Republicans. 

Convincing the other party’s voters to vote for your candidate is a long shot.Getting your voters to turn out for your candidate is how elections are won. It’s called GOTV, for Get Out The Vote.

GOTV plus voter enthusiasm invariably equals winning results at the polls.

In the final weeks of the campaign, enthusiasm for Donald Trump, demonstrated at multiple daily rallies, has been far beyond what it was four years ago. Will enthusiasm help produce another winning voter turnout for Trump?

Spoiler alert: Data generated by early voting says “yes.”

To understand why history will likely repeat itself, it’s important to look at voter turnout in party strongholds, districts where support is expected to be high. The highest Democratic voting percentages are often in districts with large majorities of African-American voters. The black vote is a key component in the strategy of every Democratic election campaign, especially Joe Biden’s. Accordingly, black turnout provides the best way to measure enthusiasm for the Democratic Party’s candidate and ultimately to project a winner.

Take North Carolina. In 2012, black voter turnout for Barack Obama was understandably high. Black voters made up 27 percent of North Carolina’s total number of voters that year. In 2016, Hillary Clinton’s turnout among blacks in the Tar Heel state dropped to 22 percent. This year, with Biden running, North Carolina’s black turnout for early voting is 19.5 percent. 

Then there’s this: the black vote that is coming out is not all coming out for the Democrat. 

A poll by the University of New Orleans of likely Louisiana voters reported that 28 percent of blacks preferred Donald Trump. That’s driven largely by black men, among whom Trump’s 43 percent edges Biden’s 42 percent.

A Rasmussen national survey, reflecting the same trend, shows Trump’s approval among likely black voters at 46 percent. Approval does not translate directly into votes, but there is too much action — in the form of early turnout — behind that number to dismiss it.

In 2016, Trump asked African-Americans what they had to lose by backing him instead of his Hillary Clinton. Apparently, now they know. Under Trump, blacks saw record employment, the creation of economic opportunity zones, increased funding for black colleges, and the lowest incarceration rate for blacks since 1995.

If the most reliable Democratic voting bloc loses its enthusiasm for Biden, his chances in the South and elsewhere disappear.

Florida shows how that looks. Sunshine State Republicans outperformed expectations in early voting. Democrats are ahead in mail-in ballots, but not by the numbers needed to beat the GOP on Election Day when Republicans traditionally come out to vote in droves. 

Rasmussen’s Daily tracking poll found that by the end of October over 31 percent of black Florida voters said they would vote for Trump.

Trump broke through the Democrat’s Blue Wall defense in 2016, and now he looks like a serious threat to their Black Wall in 2020. Trump is still going to lose the black vote. He’s just going to lose it by less.

The question, again, is how many early-voting Democrats actually voted Democratic. Trump won with backing from Democrats in 2016. Why would they abandon him now?

Donald Trump has “overwhelming support among Republicans,” says Pew Reports. Biden’s support from fellow Democrats stems largely from their dislike of Trump more than an affinity for Joe. And Biden can’t attract a crowd much larger than his Secret Service detail. That’s certainly not true of Trump.  

In fact, there’s no better source of actionable data than a Trump rally, because everyone who wants to attend has to provide contact information to get a free ticket. The campaign then uses this data to turn every event into a force-multiplier. First, each rally reaches millions of voters live at the venue, on cable TV, and on YouTube. Then millions more engage on Facebook and Twitter.

After the rally, a campaign team targets those who attended with digital ads that recipients can retarget to their contacts as look-alike campaigns on social media.

The party also mines the same data for useful insights and information it can convert into turnout. Republican National Committee Chair Ronna McDanielnoted that 45 percent of the attendees at an October New Hampshire rally werenot registered Republicans and 20 percent did not vote in 2016.   

Who would wait in line for hours to see a Trump rally in October and then notvote for Trump in November? It’s easy to predict there will be many new Trump voters this year in more states than just New Hampshire. 

In modern times very few vice-presidents or serial losers in primaries succeed in winning the White House. Joe Biden has both of those things going against him. And that’s before factoring in China/Burismagate allegations directed at him and his family, Barack Obama’s low-impact performance on the campaign trail and the anti-police riots in Philadelphia, all of which will help Trump.

Finally, there’s the matter of polling. Most polls are commissioned by media organizations that are openly hostile to Trump. Why should anyone believe them now making basically the same anti-Trump predictions that were completely wrong in 2016? 

One polling company, though, stands out. The Trafalgar Group accurately predicted Trump would win Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2016. Now Trafalgar forecasts Trump will take Florida, Michigan, and Arizona.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer could be more disappointed than Joe Biden on election night. Trafalgar has African-American GOP Senate candidate John James slightly ahead in Michigan. Trump may drag Sen. Martha McSally over the finish line in Arizona, and Alabama will return its Senate seat to the GOP. 

It’s also hard to see how a cresting wave of Trump enthusiasm won’t create a GOTV result that keeps Colorado Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in his job.

The bottom line is simple math. When you add the electoral votes from reliably red states to any breach in the Blue Wall, Trump wins again, possibly even bigger than he did last time.

That may not be the October surprise you expected, but then that’s why they call it… a surprise.  

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/11/october_surprise_this_race_is_over_.html